Customer Churn Prediction

This innovative analysis examines the impact of customer sentiment on predicting churn in e-commerce businesses. By comparing traditional predictive models against those enhanced with sentiment analysis, we provide deeper insights into customer departure patterns and opportunities for targeted retention.

Key Insights

Dual-Phase Approach

  • Phase 1: Traditional churn prediction using transactional and behavioral variables

  • Phase 2: Enhanced models incorporating customer sentiment analysis from feedback

  • Comparison: Up to 3% improvement in prediction accuracy when sentiment is included

Sentiment Integration

  • Implemented advanced NLP using DistilBERT for customer feedback analysis

  • Sentiment scores serve as powerful indicators of future customer behavior

  • Transformed qualitative feedback into quantifiable predictive metrics

Model Performance

  • Support Vector Machine and Random Forest models demonstrated superior performance

  • Comprehensive evaluation using accuracy, recall, precision, F1 score, and ROC-AUC

  • Feature importance analysis revealed key churn drivers and sentiment impact

Business Applications

  • Early Intervention: Identify at-risk customers before they churn

  • Targeted Retention: Develop personalized strategies based on sentiment indicators

  • Feedback Prioritization: Focus on addressing negative sentiment patterns

  • ROI Optimization: Allocate retention resources to highest-value at-risk customers

Technologies Leveraged

  • Python, Scikit-learn, TensorFlow, Hugging Face Transformers, LightGBM, Pandas

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